Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-31 3.225385 3.411124 3.608772 3.835958 4.091430 4.371707 4.705084
2025-09-07 2.896066 3.137352 3.406392 3.732347 4.121901 4.579849 5.170693
2025-09-14 2.649206 2.920112 3.232744 3.627109 4.122074 4.739128 5.596362
2025-09-21 2.454217 2.741203 3.081331 3.524456 4.103718 4.863741 5.994423
2025-09-28 2.355367 2.666010 3.044302 3.554121 4.250702 5.219411 6.785409
2025-10-05 2.342633 2.692595 3.132536 3.750227 4.642621 5.983842 8.430237
2025-10-12 2.266467 2.631779 3.100969 3.778749 4.798263 6.424331 9.706376
2025-10-19 2.195465 2.571718 3.064007 3.793308 4.931524 6.853281 11.164467
2025-10-26 2.165451 2.562516 3.093509 3.904408 5.229503 7.640751 13.954093
2025-11-02 2.106094 2.509654 3.057517 3.912274 5.356544 8.140163 16.469624
2025-11-09 2.006790 2.397272 2.930259 3.768312 5.202035 8.026854 16.960159
2025-11-16 1.925573 2.306375 2.829175 3.658158 5.095701 7.998269 17.790030
2025-11-23 1.863243 2.245928 2.778690 3.640916 5.187100 8.511414 21.983390
2025-11-30 1.782454 2.156586 2.681757 3.542193 5.117237 8.642392 24.974368
2025-12-07 1.707876 2.072999 2.589189 3.444001 5.037513 8.737229 28.391849
2025-12-14 1.639841 1.995941 2.502490 3.349209 4.953295 8.804080 32.336614
2025-12-21 1.607482 1.968203 2.488188 3.375248 5.117206 9.637223 51.261420
2025-12-28 1.612717 1.994468 2.557359 3.552298 5.637668 11.955860 531.054328
2026-01-04 1.583121 1.968124 2.542619 3.577691 5.828099 13.336871 NaN
2026-01-11 1.552991 1.939513 2.522366 3.590610 5.992672 14.814467 NaN
2026-01-18 1.542147 1.939054 2.547015 3.690600 6.401869 18.180674 NaN
2026-01-25 1.514105 1.911235 2.525090 3.697594 6.568767 20.567614 NaN
2026-02-01 1.462484 1.845704 2.437780 3.567786 6.330193 19.713538 NaN